[Linux4christians] OT: Soon, majority of users will no longer
pastordavid at bibleseven.com
Wed Feb 4 15:49:31 EST 2009
> Would not an "obscure mainframe" or the provider of the "obscure
> mainframe integration package" want to meet the need of their customer
> or risk losing them?
> An interesting, but incorrect assumption. The software and the mainframe
> have already been sold to the customer. Losing that customer would be of
> minimal impact to profits. Customer can't move because they already sunk
> money into the mainframe and supporting products. Unless someone can
> give them a cost effective exit from this situation, they are stuck with
> their current IT architecture.
What is the typical lifetime of a "mainframe" these days?
Replacing selected tasks of a mainframe with sub-systems as
a way to
extend the life of the mainframe in tough economic times
a win-win for a business and an open opportunity to wean
> 1% of that 1% would not make you anywhere near wealthy. Let's use some
> absolutely unrealistic BEST CASE figures. There are approximately 300
> million people in the US. Let's make the unrealistic assumption that
> there is one computer for each of those people. 1/10000th of that is
> only 30,000 customers. Let's assume a through the roof profit margin of
> $20/unit. That works out to only $600,000. Which is enough to employ
> about 6 developers per year or 1 developer for 6 years. (More likely
> somewhere in between as you won't make all your sales in one year, but
> you will have repeat customers looking for upgrades.)
You left out all of the business, educational, cyber-cafe,
and other computers.
> Keep in mind that full time employees have costs above and beyond their
> base salary including Social Security, Healthcare, equipment, office
> space, and other costs. $100,000/employee may actually be low. Expanding
> into Europe entails a great deal of cost related to international sales.
> Most other areas of the world (e.g. Africa, China, Australia, India)
> tend to be lost causes for small businesses due to non-use of computers,
> piracy, because they'll grab the FREE (as in beer) software, or because
> their population is too sparse in comparison to their land masses to
> make marketing and distribution cost-effective.
Really? Someone needs to tell our high-tech sector that -
the one that
makes massive profits overseas.
Here are some examples of growth that include international
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation Class A (NASDAQ:
Google (much as I wish it were not so).
> Have you already forgotten about Germany's attempts at moving to Linux?
> They were bullied into delays, delays, and more delays. They finally
> deployed 100 out of 14,000 desktops in 2006. The plan was to be at 80%
> Linux by 2009. As of last reports, they are at 1,000 out of 14,000
Microsoft is facing a slew of new court cases in Europe ...
Linux is not the
only ones bogged-down.
> Again, Linux offers them nothing. They have existing, profitable
> markets. Why would they break into one with no money behind it?
> Never assume that coordination is zero cost. There are very real costs
> to businesses in everything they do. Just picking up the phone and
> talking with another company is costing them money. Needing staff to
> compile and support new versions of software is a massive cost that
> can't be justified unless a company can reasonably expect returns in
> excess of those costs. So they turn to a studies group like Gartner.
> Gartner says 'no', so they ignore phone calls from the distro makers.
Have an http://Ultrafidian.com Day! Pastor David
Personal Site: http://bibleseven.com
"Before the Beginning was God. At the Beginning was Wisdom.
After the Beginning angels & man took a big dumb-pill." dmc
10 Acres & 2400SF Home For Sale in Florida - ask me.
More information about the Linux4christians