by jstgtpaid » Fri Dec 19, 2008 12:27 pm
I don't blame Bush for the failure of the big 3. That falls squarely on the leadership of the big 3. (Actually the current leader of Ford is new and seems to have done good things during his term, so he may be exempt) Bush should have acted differently with Lehman brothers and I think he and his cabinet is partially responsible for that debacle. There is tons of historical precedence for bailing out banks. Unfortunately, banks have a free pass for stupidity. The way our current world wide economic system is, we need the banks and we need them to be loaning money. Several other recessions are very similar to the one we are in and in all cases, bank relief was required to get things straight...
Anyway, I personally believe that at least two of the big 3 are 'zombie companies.' In short zombie companies are companies that are dead and they don't know it yet. They are kept 'alive' by a continuous stream of loans. 'Zombie companies' were prolific in the Japanese recession that started in '91. The Japanese government make many of the same mistakes (loaning money to companies that are dead).
In the case of the Big 3, they are stating that a perfect storm scenario is the cause of their current state. The automakers main gripe is that with the failure of Lehman brothers the loan market dried up and they were unable to get loans required to operate. Loans, they claim, that would normally be available.
So therein lies the rub. I think it is prudent at that point to determine if the companies are viable before loans are extended. Yes, you can chastise them for being lacking foresight and being horrible leaders. You can even point out that the lack of foresight is glaring still with their private jet trips to DC. However, I think one needs to step back and ask some hard questions...
- What will you do with the funds?
- What do you plan to do differently to get in the black?
- Is your company viable or do you need loans to remain in business?
In addition, it seems implied that if the loans are given, that Americans will not lose their jobs. However, as I said, I think that at least two of the companies are dead and don't know it. I believe that as they are forced to get in the black they will start to purge factories and workers in large numbers. I think the loans will only keep the electricity on at HQ and that the plants will go dark and the workers to the unemployment lines.
I could be wrong though... LOL... I have been wrong before...